Variables | Categories | Model 1 | Model 2 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
IRR | 95% CI | IRR | 95% CI | ||
Year (Ref: 2010) | 2011 | 0.99 | [0.96–1.02] | 0.95* | [0.91–0.99] |
2012 | 0.96* | [0.93–0.99] | 0.90*** | [0.86–0.94] | |
2013 | 0.92*** | [0.88–0.96] | 0.89*** | [0.85–0.94] | |
2014 | 0.84*** | [0.78–0.92] | 0.79*** | [0.73–0.87] | |
2015 | 0.86*** | [0.80–0.93] | 0.82*** | [0.75–0.89] | |
2016 | 0.89** | [0.83–0.96] | 0.84*** | [0.78–0.91] | |
2017 | 0.88*** | [0.82–0.95] | 0.83*** | [0.76–0.89] | |
2018 | 0.88*** | [0.83–0.94] | 0.83*** | [0.77–0.89] | |
2019 | 0.90** | [0.85–0.97] | 0.82*** | [0.76–0.89] | |
2020 | 0.86*** | [0.79–0.93] | 0.77*** | [0.70–0.85] | |
Gender (Ref: males) | Females | 0.99** | [0.97–0.99] | 0.99* | [0.97–1.00] |
Age | 15–24 | 1.19*** | [1.15–1.23] | 1.19*** | [1.15–1.23] |
(Ref: 35–64 y.o.) | 25–34 | 1.11*** | [1.09–1.13] | 1.11*** | [1.09–1.13] |
Job status | Unemployed | 1.12*** | [1.09–1.14] | 1.12*** | [1.09–1.14] |
(Ref: inactive) | Working | 1.13*** | [1.11–1.15] | 1.13*** | [1.10–1.15] |
Housing (Ref: stable accommodation) | Homeless/temporary accommodation | 0.98* | [0.97–1.00] | 0.98* | [0.97–1.00] |
Geographical location (Ref: Rest of the country) | Paris region | 0.67*** | [0.58–0.78] | 0.67*** | [0.58–0.78] |
OMT—type | Methadone | 1.18*** | [1.15–1.21] | 1.08** | [1.03–1.13] |
(Ref: buprenorphine) | Other medication | 0.64*** | [0.51–0.79] | 0.60 | [0.33–1.12] |
Time elapsed since onset | 1 year or less | 1.15*** | [1.12–1.18] | 1.15*** | [1.12–1.18] |
(Ref: 5 years or more) | 2–4 years | 1.08*** | [1.06–1.10] | 1.08*** | [1.06–1.10] |
Other substance use | Licit substances | 1.19*** | [1.15–1.22] | 1.19*** | [1.15–1.22] |
(Ref: no use) | Illicit substances | 1.22*** | [1.17–1.27] | 1.22*** | [1.17–1.27] |
Psychotropics | 0.86** | [0.83–0.89] | 0.86** | [0.83–0.89] | |
Year × OMT | 2011 × methadone | 1.06*** | [1.03–1.10] | ||
2011 × Other | 1.27 | [0.84–1.92] | |||
2012 × methadone | 1.12*** | [1.07–1.17] | |||
2012 × Other | 1.18 | [0.67–2.05] | |||
2013 × methadone | 1.05* | [1.00–1.10] | |||
2013 × Other | 0.96 | [0.56–1.62] | |||
2014 × methadone | 1.10*** | [1.04–1.16] | |||
2014 × Other | 1.34 | [0.85–2.10] | |||
2015 × methadone | 1.09*** | [1.04–1.16] | |||
2015 × Other | 1.01 | [0.59–1.73] | |||
2016 × methadone | 1.10*** | [1.04–1.16] | |||
2016 × Other | 0.91 | [0.54–1.53] | |||
2017 × methadone | 1.11*** | [1.05–1.17] | |||
2017 × Other | 1.05 | [0.55–1.99] | |||
2018 × methadone | 1.11*** | [1.05–1.17] | |||
2018 × Other | 0.95 | [0.50–1.81] | |||
2019 × methadone | 1.16*** | [1.09–1.23] | |||
2019 × Other | 1.05 | [0.56–1.97] | |||
2020 × methadone | 1.19*** | [1.11–1.26] | |||
2020 × Other | 1.02 | [0.58–1.80] | |||
var(cons[centres]) | 1.27*** | [1.20–1.34] | 1.27*** | [1.20–1.34] | |
ICC/VPC | 0.25 | 0.25 | |||
MMR | 1.61 | [1.52–1.69] | 1.61 | [1.52–1.69] | |
N | 344,754 | 344,754 |