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Table 5 Rational addiction cigarette consumption estimates: model comparisons.

From: Are smokers rational addicts? Empirical evidence from the Indonesian Family Life Survey

 

Total

Male

Female

 

OLS

2SLS

GMM

System GMM

OLS

2SLS

GMM

System GMM

OLS

2SLS

GMM

System GMM

C t-1

0.244†

0.520†

0.521†

0.846†

0.238†

0.485†

0.487†

0.790†

0.415†

0.114

0.292

1.096†

 

[0.021]

[0.113]

[0.112]

[0.130]

[0.022]

[0.110]

[0.110]

[0.126]

[0.117]

[0.517]

[0.449]

[0.382]

C t+1

0.318†

0.133

0.119

-0.749†

0.315†

0.137

0.123

-0.761†

0.293†

0.866 *

0.806 *

-0.243

 

[0.027]

[0.152]

[0.145]

[0.078]

[0.028]

[0.151]

[0.150]

[0.080]

[0.104]

[0.386]

[0.365]

[0.230]

Pc t0

-0.154†

-0.118‡

-0.129‡

-0.358†

-0.151†

-0.127‡

-0.138‡

-0.384†

-0.362

-0.367

-0.289

-0.567

 

[0.045]

[0.070]

[0.066]

[0.084]

[0.046]

[0.073]

[0.072]

[0.087]

[0.261]

[0.337]

[0.320]

[0.575]

Pa t0

0.182†

0.152†

0.157†

0.253†

0.184†

0.159†

0.163†

0.234†

0.158

0.019

-0.006

0.448‡

 

[0.019]

[0.035]

[0.035]

[0.060]

[0.019]

[0.037]

[0.037]

[0.062]

[0.110]

[0.139]

[0.133]

[0.225]

Ln-exp

-0.021

-0.016

-0.015

0.023

-0.027

-0.019

-0.017

0.03

0.131

0.286‡

0.294‡

0.037

 

[0.018]

[0.018]

[0.018]

[0.056]

[0.018]

[0.019]

[0.019]

[0.058]

[0.098]

[0.155]

[0.154]

[0.309]

Constant

0.469*

0.333

0.36

1.455‡

0.527*

0.422

0.44

1.832*

-0.528

-1.489

-1.966

-1.494

 

[0.226]

[0.351]

[0.354]

[0.768]

[0.231]

[0.374]

[0.372]

[0.776]

[1.327]

[1.848]

[1.764]

[2.369]

N

1790

1783

1783

1783

1725

1719

1719

1719

65

64

64

64

R-squared

0.41

0.33

0.33

 

0.40

0.34

0.34

 

0.45

0.25

0.27

 

F-test

181.45†

104.72†

81.72†

27.63†

171.7†

79.72†

80.96†

26.34†

9.9†

5.06†

5.76†

2.51‡

# instruments

 

12

12

39

 

12

12

39

 

12

12

39

# excl. instruments

 

8

8

  

8

8

  

8

8

 

Short-run elasticity

-0.154

-0.118

-0.129

-0.358

-0.151

-0.127

-0.138

-0.384

-0.362

-0.367

-0.289

-0.567

Long-run elasticity

-0.352

-0.340

-0.358

-0.396

-0.338

-0.336

-0.354

-0.395

-1.240

-18.35

2.949

-3.857

Discount factor

1.303

0.256

0.228

-0.885

1.324

0.282

0.253

-0.963

0.706

7.596

2.760

-0223

Discount rate

-0.233

2.910

3.378

-2.130

-0.244

2.540

2.959

-2.038

0.416

-0.868

-0.638

-5.510

  1. ‡significant at 10%; *significant at 5%; †significant at 1%; Robust standard errors in [brackets]
  2. Note: See equation (1): The short run price elasticity is the coefficients estimates of cigarette price, β 3 ; the long run price elasticity is calculated using the expression ∂ E ( L n C i t ) / ∂ E ( L n P c i t ) = β ^ 3 / ( 1 − β ^ 1 − β ^ 2 ) ; and the implied discount factor is β 2 /β 1 and the implied discount rate is β 1 /β 2 -1