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Table 3 Segmented regression estimates, sales and smoking prevalence outcomes, Canada

From: Shock and awe or incentive-compatible harm reduction? Graphic health warnings on tobacco packages

 

Canada sales

Canada smoking prevalence

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

Cigarette price

− 0.436***

− 0.453***

− 0.530***

6.985**

4.276

1.868

 

(0.109)

(0.111)

(0.099)

(3.087)

(3.490)

(4.964)

Time trend

− 0.009***

− 0.007***

− 0.004

− 0.393***

− 0.263*

− 0.205

 

(0.003)

(0.003)

(0.004)

(0.119)

(0.143)

(0.169)

GHW effect (level change)

 

− 0.051

− 0.045

 

− 1.708

− 0.824

  

(0.039)

(0.031)

 

(1.108)

(1.615)

GHW effect (slope change)

  

0.002

  

0.127

   

(0.002)

  

(0.124)

Unemployment rate

− 0.016

− 0.000

0.007

− 0.726

0.167

− 0.012

 

(0.023)

(0.025)

(0.020)

(0.699)

(0.887)

(1.077)

Alcohol price

0.024***

0.023***

0.012

0.466

0.307

− 0.033

 

(0.009)

(0.009)

(0.012)

(0.294)

(0.307)

(0.430)

Constant

1.492

1.435

3.421

− 41.787

− 22.719

32.680

 

(1.434)

(1.419)

(2.098)

(48.496)

(49.371)

(81.225)

R2

0.73

0.73

0.84

0.64

0.65

0.65

N

131

131

131

66

66

66

  1. Marginal effects from segmented regressions are reported. Columns 1–3 are based on deseasonalized monthly per capita sales data (in log) for the period of 1995–2005. Columns 4–6 are based on deseasonalized monthly smoking prevalence data for the period of 1999–2004. Robust standard errors are reported
  2. *p < 0.1; **p < 0.05; ***p < 0.01